CALIFORNIA LOSING SUPPORT
by Phillip Smith, October 21, 2010, 03:33am, (Issue #654)
Posted in: Legalization Marijuana — Personal Use News Brief Prop 19 Public Opinion
Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize, regulate, and tax marijuana in California, has lost support and is now trailing, according to poll results released Wednesday by the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC). The landline and cell phone poll of 2,002 adults surveyed between October 10 and 17 has Prop 19 losing, 49% to 44%, with 7% undecided.
The numbers for Prop 19 are down eights from PPIC’s September poll, which had it winning with 52%. But they are almost the mirror image of SurveyUSA poll also released Wednesday that showed Prop 19 leading 48% to 44%.
In the new PPIC poll, the initiative lost significant support among independents (from 65% to 40%) and Latinos (63% to 42%), and among almost all demographic groups. Whites are now more likely to oppose the support Prop 19 by a thin margin, a reversal from last month.
This poll is the fifth of 15 polls taken this year to show Prop 19 trailing. Ten others had it ahead, but only four of them had it at 50% or over, and the last one to do so was last month’s PPIC poll. According to the Talking Points Memo Polltracker, the average of all polls has Prop 19 leading 46.8% to 44.5%. As of publication time, it had not been updated with Wednesday’s two polls, but in terms of the poll averages, they would be a wash.
This is going to get very tense for the next 12 days.